Frankfurt Stock Exchange

With the start of the quarterly season, a logic that is often used at this time is likely to become outdated.


(Photo: dpa)

dusseldorf For months now, a message has been set in stone on the bag: Bad news is good for the stock market. If the economic data is weaker than expected, prices rise. If there are more unemployed and companies increase their wages more slowly, prices will also rise. On the contrary, prices fall when the number of unemployed falls.

This is cynical, because behind the numbers is the fate of people who may be struggling to pay their rent, heat their home, or buy the food they need. But the cold logic of the market is different: when the economy is weaker and unemployment is higher, central banks raise interest rates less steeply or even lower them, and stocks benefit from this.

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